Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 02 Sep 2026 03:22:23 GMT
782
ABNT20 KNHC 020529
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on
Tropical Depression Edouard, located inland over southeastern
Texas. The next advisory on Edouard will be issued by the Weather
Prediction Center at 4 am CDT.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
...EDOUARD WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... ...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE SPREADING OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... As of 10:00 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 the center of Edouard was located near 30.5, -94.6 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026000 WTNT35 KNHC 020231 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Edouard Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026 1000 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026 ...EDOUARD WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... ...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE SPREADING OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.5N 94.6W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NW OF BEAUMONT TEXAS ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSE OF LUFKIN TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued along the Texas ad Louisiana coasts. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Edouard was located near latitude 30.5 North, longitude 94.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Edouard will continue moving inland over southeastern and eastern Texas through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected during the next day or so, and Edouard is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression tonight and dissipate by Wednesday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Edouard can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC. WIND: Wind gusts to tropical-storm force may continue near the center of Edouard for the next several hours. RAINFALL: Edouard is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 7 inches with maximum totals up to 12 inches for parts of the Upper Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with potential for 2 to 4 inches in far southwest Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to produce flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas. Significant flash flooding is possible. River flooding may also be possible. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Edouard, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated with Edouard, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS5 with the WMO header ACUS45 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc5.html. TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible through tonight across parts of southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 400 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT5, WMO header WTNT35 KWNH, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov. Rainfall forecasts for the United States can always be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml and outlooks of flash flood risks can be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php . $$ Forecaster Beven
Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2026000 WTNT25 KNHC 020231 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052026 0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2026 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 94.6W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 94.6W AT 02/0300Z...INLAND AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 94.2W...INLAND FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.2N 95.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.2N 95.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 94.6W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 0900 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCMAT5, WMO HEADER WTNT25 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV. RAINFALL FORECASTS FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN ALWAYS BE FOUND AT HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML AND OUTLOOKS OF FLASH FLOOD RISKS CAN BE FOUND AT HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESSIVE_RAINFALL_OUTLOOK_ERO.PHP . $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026000 WTNT45 KNHC 020232 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Edouard Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026 1000 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026 Edouard has remained well-organized in radar imagery as it moves farther inland over southeastern Texas. However, the convective cloud tops near the center are gradually, if unsteadily warming, and Doppler wind velocities near the center have decreased during the last hour or so. Based on this, it is estimated that Edouard has weakened to a tropical depression. It should be noted that there have been no reports of winds or pressures from the storm core area after it passed Beaumont, Texas. Continued weakening is expected as the center moves farther inland, and the dynamical guidance suggests that the surface center should dissipate between 18-36 h. The intensity forecast thus calls for the system to last 24 h before dissipation. Edouard is moving northwestward or 315/7 kt and will remain on this heading through early Wednesday, bringing the center farther inland over eastern Texas. This general motion should continue until the surface center dissipates. This is the last tropical cyclone discussion issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in discussions issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 400 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCDAT5, WMO header WTNT45 KWNH, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov. Rainfall forecasts for the United States can always be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml and outlooks of flash flood risks can be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php . Key Messages: 1. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force are likely near the center of Edouard for the next several hours. 2. Heavy rain will impact parts of the Upper Texas coast through east-central Texas into far Southwest Louisiana through Thursday morning as Edouard continues to track inland. Flash flooding is likely across this region, especially in urban areas. Significant flash flooding is possible. River flooding may also be possible. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/0300Z 30.5N 94.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 12H 02/1200Z 31.2N 95.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 03/0000Z 32.2N 95.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2026 000
FONT15 KNHC 020232
PWSAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052026
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2026
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
KOUNTZE TX 34 80 X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 57 X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 02 Sep 2026 03:22:23 GMT
Issued at 724 PM CDT
Issued at 953 PM CDT