622
FXUS64 KHGX 280512
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1212 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Small Craft Advisory in effect this morning for gusty northeast
  winds.

- Slightly cooler temperatures this weekend.

- An uptick in moisture and a return to above-normal temperatures
  are expected heading into early next week. Rain chances return
  during the second part of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1211 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

Front is currently moving through the region and should be off the
coast in the next 2-4 hours. Cooler and somewhat breezy conditions
will prevail into the morning hours followed by lowering speeds in
the late morning and afternoon. Cloudiness should persist on the
backside of the front for a decent part of the day which should
limit highs to between 69-77F.

Onshore winds should resume late tonight and Sunday with an
ensuing warming trend as we head into early next week (still nice
wx though!).

As PW`s gradually climb each day, we should see some isolated
rain chances return late Tuesday. A messy quasi-zonal flow emerges
Wed-Fri bringing some Pacific moisture overhead along with a
parade of weak disturbances embedded in the flow aloft. Combination
of the above should allow for higher rain chances during this
time period. UKMET/ICON are getting on board with the somewhat
consistent ECMWF pointing toward the best overall coverage late
Wed & Thurs as some weak troffiness slides across the Plains.
Fingers crossed. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 642 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026

Cold front is situated across northern parts of SE Tx as of this
writing and should continual its gradual southward progress and
into the Gulf late tonight and early Saturday morning. VFR
conditions are expected ahead of the front, but am looking for
some prevailing MVFR cigs to fill in behind it, along with some
NE winds 13g25kt. Winds will gradually diminish from mid morning
Saturday onward and veer a bit more toward the ENE. Confidence in
terms of when the MVFR ceilings will lift/scatter is lower. Have
extended the duration of lower cigs for most TAF sites later into
the morning compared to earlier issuances. Some guidance suggests
they could linger into early afternoon, while others aren`t as
pessimistic. We`ll keep an eye on trends. 47

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1211 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

A cold front is expected to push into the waters between 2-4am with
steadily increasing northeast winds into the mid morning hours along
with building seas. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for most
waters. Would not be surprised to see some 30kt gusts near/off the
coast of Galveston into the early morning hours. Improving
conditions are expected later Saturday afternoon and night as winds
and seas diminish. Southeast winds resume Sunday and should prevail
for most of next week. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  71  54  83  61 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  76  57  83  63 /   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)  72  66  75  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution from 4 AM CDT early this
     morning through this afternoon for GMZ330.

     Small Craft Advisory until noon CDT today for GMZ335.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 1 PM CDT this
     afternoon for GMZ350-370.

     Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM early this morning to 1 PM CDT
     this afternoon for GMZ355-375.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...47
MARINE...47

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion